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Decision of Uncertainty Paper-Research Paper

Resource: Week Four Student Roadmap

Identify a health care organization that must make a decision.

Identify what decision must be made and whether or not to pursue a course of action given the likelihood of different outcomes.

Locate data and apply probability concepts, such as confidence intervals, point estimates, or Poisson distribution, to recommend a decision.

Refer to the Student Roadmap for an example.

Write a paper :

Include appropriate probability concepts and your application of them to find resulting data to limit the uncertainty in this decision.

Include a rationale for the chosen concept.

Identify each discrete outcome from your statistical analysis, providing rationale for each.

Identify tradeoffs between accuracy and precision required by various probability concepts and the effect on your data.

Include the decision you recommend based on statistical data.

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